The Oscar Project
We're finally getting to some of the big categories here with my predictions of Best Supporting Actor, Best Supporting Actress, Best Original Screenplay, and Best Adapted Screenplay.
Don't forget to check out the previous prediction posts in my series to see all of my predictions and look for the last few posts with the Best Actress/Actor, Best Director, and Best Picture categories on Monday.
Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali (Green Book) - Ali has already won this award at the Golden Globes and the Critic's Choice Awards and I have a feeling that the winner from two years ago may take home the prize at the Oscars again this year.
Timothee Chalamet (Beautiful Boy) - Chalamet will likely get his second Oscar nomination in as many years, this time in the supporting category.
Sam Elliott (A Star is Born) - After a strong performance in this film, look for Elliott to receive his first Oscar nomination for his supporting performance.
Sam Rockwell (Vice) - Make that two Sams getting nominations for Supporting Actor this year. Rockwell's portrayal of George W. Bush is spot on and lands him another nomination, though probably not the win.
Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman) - Taking a break from the angst ridden Kylo Ren, Driver has been busy on the award circuit this year and stands to land a nomination for his role in Spike Lee's latest film.
First one out:
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) - Ultimately, there is someone who has to get left out here and I think Grant falls out since his film hasn't gotten the same publicity as the rest of the field.
Best Supporting Actress
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) - Much like Ali on the men's side, King has been doing well on the award circuit this winter and I expect to land a strong nomination.
Emma Stone (The Favourite) - Stone returns to the nominations after a year off (following La La Land) with a strong performance in The Favourite.
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite) - I fear that two nominations from the same film will decrease the chances of either one of them winning the award, but they will both have strong consideration for nominations.
Amy Adams (Vice) - Like many of the roles in this film, Adams nailed her character and will receive a nomination.
Margot Robbie (Mary Queen of Scots) - Robbie lands her second nomination in as many years but ultimately doesn't land the win.
First one out:
Claire Foy (First Man) - In another year, Foy would be a strong contender for at least a nomination, but unfortunately she lands in a very strong field this year and falls just short.
Best Original Screenplay
Roma - Roma has been running away with awards at many ceremonies and despite being a foreign language film, I have a feeling this one will be strong in the screenplay category.
The Favourite - You've seen this film in many other categories and I think this will add to its total. While not landing a win, I think it is a strong contender for a nomination.
Green Book - I almost thought this would be considered in the Adapted Screenplay category, but could definitely see it getting a nomination here.
Vice - It's based on real life, but think it's a strong contender to receive a nomination here.
First Reformed - While it has not received much attention other than critics, I've read that it's a tremendous film and a great story.
First one out:
Eighth Grade - This film has touched many people personally and the writing has much to do with that.
Best Adapted Screenplay
BlacKkKlansman - If it wasn't based on a true story, I'm sure many studio execs would scoff at this film being too far fetched to be believed. Look for it to be a strong contender for Adapted Screenplay.
If Beale Street Could Talk - Based on the James Baldwin novel of the same name, this film is a very strong adaptation.
A Star is Born - You've seen the story three times before on film, yet this version is fresh enough to warrant a nomination here.
Black Panther - For Marvel's entry in this category this year, look to Black Panther, not Avengers or Ant-Man.
Can You Ever Forgive Me? - A film about a writer based on a true story looks to land the final nomination this year.
First one out:
Mary Queen of Scots - While the acting is superb and there are likely nominations in other categories, I fear that the writing team gets left out here.
I'm just a film buff who wants to watch great movies. Where else to find the best, than the list of those nominated by the Academy each year?